Hurricane Vance Tracker

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The track shows Vance's path and the forecast cone.

Vance is a category 1 hurricane over open water in the eastern Pacific, moving northwest at 13 km/h.

Vance observation history

Date, timeWind SpeedPressureLatitudeLongitudeMovementStatus
120 kmh989 mb14.6-103.813 kmh NWCategory 1 Hurricane
139 kmh980 mb14.1-103.311 kmh NCategory 1 Hurricane
148 kmh977 mb13.5-103.39 kmh NCategory 1 Hurricane
157 kmh974 mb13.0-103.29 kmh NCategory 2 Hurricane
167 kmh970 mb12.6-102.99 kmh NCategory 2 Hurricane
176 kmh965 mb12.1-102.710 kmh NCategory 2 Hurricane
185 kmh961 mb11.7-102.413 kmh NCategory 3 Hurricane
167 kmh971 mb11.0-102.28 kmh NCategory 2 Hurricane
139 kmh981 mb10.6-102.14 kmh SWCategory 1 Hurricane
130 kmh985 mb10.8-102.010 kmh NWCategory 1 Hurricane
111 kmh991 mb10.3-101.712 kmh NWTropical Storm
102 kmh994 mb9.8-101.38 kmh WTropical Storm
83 kmh999 mb9.7-100.98 kmh WTropical Storm
74 kmh1,000 mb9.6-101.315 kmh WTropical Storm
65 kmh1,003 mb9.5-100.517 kmh WTropical Storm
65 kmh1,003 mb9.4-99.617 kmh WTropical Storm
56 kmh1,005 mb9.5-99.022 kmh WTropical Depression
46 kmh1,007 mb9.6-97.817 kmh WTropical Depression
46 kmh1,007 mb9.7-96.913 kmh WTropical Depression
46 kmh1,007 mb9.8-96.212 kmh WTropical Depression
46 kmh1,007 mb10.0-95.615 kmh WTropical Depression
46 kmh1,007 mb10.0-94.816 kmh WTropical Depression
37 kmh1,009 mb10.3-94.019 kmh WTropical Depression
37 kmh1,009 mb10.6-93.016 kmh WTropical Depression
28 kmh1,011 mb10.7-92.116 kmh WTropical Depression
28 kmh1,011 mb10.7-91.216 kmh WTropical Depression
28 kmh1,011 mb10.7-90.320 kmh WTropical Depression
28 kmh1,011 mb10.6-89.20 kmh NTropical Depression

What's happening now

Vance is a category 1 hurricane at 14.6°N, 103.8°W, over open water in the eastern Pacific and moving northwest at 13 km/h. The latest reading, at 12:00 UTC on October 25, records winds of 120 km/h, gusts of 138 km/h and a pressure of 989 mb. The reading names no nearby town or water body. Vance has weakened from its strongest recorded reading: category 3, with winds of 185 km/h and pressure of 961 mb, at 00:00 UTC on October 24. Later readings show the wind speed and category falling, while pressure rises. Vance was recorded as a category 1 hurricane at the previous reading as well, at 06:00 UTC on October 25, with winds of 139 km/h and pressure of 980 mb.

Areas under watch or warning

No active watches or warnings.

How Vance developed

  1. October 18 — First reading records a tropical depression.

    The earliest reading places TWENTY-TWO over open water at 10.6°N, 89.2°W, with winds of 28 km/h and pressure of 1,011 mb. The recorded movement was 0 km/h at that moment. The observations begin with the system already classified as a tropical depression; they do not show when it first formed.

  2. October 19 — Winds rise to 37 km/h as pressure falls.

    By 18:00 UTC, the readings show winds of 37 km/h, up from 28 km/h earlier in the day, while pressure has fallen from 1,011 mb to 1,009 mb. TWENTY-TWO remains a tropical depression. The earlier readings on October 19 show westward movement, with recorded speeds of 16 to 20 km/h.

  3. October 20 — Winds reach 46 km/h; pressure falls to 1,007 mb.

    At 06:00 UTC, TWENTY-TWO’s recorded wind speed rises to 46 km/h and its pressure falls to 1,007 mb. Those values persist through the readings up to October 21 at 06:00 UTC. The system remains a tropical depression throughout this interval, while its recorded westward movement varies from 12 to 17 km/h in the later readings.

  4. October 21 — Winds rise to 56 km/h as pressure falls again.

    The latest reading, at 12:00 UTC, records winds of 56 km/h, gusts of 64 km/h and pressure of 1,005 mb. Winds have increased from 46 km/h in the previous reading, and pressure has fallen from 1,007 mb. TWENTY-TWO remains a tropical depression. The latest movement reading is 22 km/h toward 265°.

  5. October 21 — Strengthens into a tropical storm.

    At 18:00 UTC on October 21, the latest reading classifies TWENTY-TWO as a tropical storm, up from a tropical depression at 12:00 UTC. Sustained winds increased from 56 to 65 km/h, gusts rose from 64 to 75 km/h, and pressure fell from 1,005 to 1,003 mb. The center was at 9.4°N, 99.6°W, moving at 17 km/h.

  6. October 23 — Strengthens into a category 1 hurricane.

    At 06:00 UTC on October 23, Vance is classified as a category 1 hurricane, with winds of 130 km/h and gusts of 150 km/h. Pressure is 985 mb. Six hours earlier, the reading showed a tropical storm with 111 km/h winds and pressure of 991 mb.

  7. October 23 — Strengthens into a category 2 hurricane.

    At 18:00 UTC on October 23, Vance's maximum sustained winds reached 167 km/h, with gusts of 192 km/h, and pressure fell to 971 mb. Six hours earlier, winds were 139 km/h and pressure was 981 mb. The readings mark the change to a category 2 hurricane.

  8. October 24 — Strengthens into a category 3 hurricane.

    At 00:00 UTC, Vance reaches category 3 with sustained winds of 185 km/h and gusts of 213 km/h. The reading places the center at 11.7°N, 102.4°W, moving north-northwest at 13 km/h, and records pressure of 961 mb. Wind speed is up from 167 km/h and pressure down from 971 mb six hours earlier.

  9. October 24 — Weakens to a category 2 hurricane.

    At 06:00 UTC, Vance's maximum sustained winds are 176 km/h, down from 185 km/h at 00:00 UTC, and its pressure is 965 mb, up from 961 mb. The readings classify Vance as a category 2 hurricane after its category 3 reading six hours earlier.

  10. October 25 — Weakens to a category 1 hurricane.

    At 00:00 UTC on October 25, Vance's maximum sustained winds are 148 km/h, down from 157 km/h 6 hours earlier. Central pressure rises from 974 mb to 977 mb. The reading classifies Vance as a category 1 hurricane, down from category 2 in the previous reading.

How Vance is behaving

The observations show a steady fall in central pressure from 1,011 mb to 1,005 mb alongside a rise in sustained wind from 28 km/h to 56 km/h. That paired trend supports strengthening during the observed period, although the readings do not describe the storm’s internal structure. Winds held at 46 km/h across several readings before rising in the latest one. Gusts are brief peaks above the sustained wind measurement; the latest gust is 64 km/h.

The track moves generally westward after the first reading recorded 0 km/h. The latest reading gives a heading of 265° and a speed of 22 km/h, faster than the 12–17 km/h recorded in several preceding observations. These readings describe motion and intensity at six-hour intervals; they do not include sea-surface temperature, wind shear or moisture measurements.

How to track Vance

Turn on the tropical storm tracks layer in RainViewer to follow TWENTY-TWO’s recorded path. Each track point’s colour shows the storm’s category at that moment: tropical depression is cyan, tropical storm is blue, category 1 is yellow, category 2 is amber, category 3 is orange, category 4 is red and category 5 is dark red. TWENTY-TWO’s readings classify it as a tropical depression, so its points correspond to cyan.

Compare the track points with the readings to follow how the recorded position, wind and pressure changed. TWENTY-TWO’s observations show a westward track, falling pressure and rising wind speed, with the latest movement reading at 22 km/h. RainViewer does not provide official warnings; check your national weather service for those. Open the RainViewer app on Google Play or the App Store to follow the plotted track.

How TWENTY-TWO fits into eastern Pacific hurricane season

The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May through November, placing October in its later part. Tropical cyclones in this basin can develop from tropical disturbances over the ocean. In general, persistent thunderstorms, ocean heat and an atmosphere that allows storms to organize can support development, while disruptive upper-level winds can hinder it. The readings for TWENTY-TWO do not measure those environmental conditions, so they cannot show which ingredients shaped this particular system.

Hurricane Patricia (2015) reached category 5 and made landfall as a category 4 hurricane. Hurricane Kenna (2002) also reached category 5 and made landfall as a category 4 hurricane. Both were October storms in the eastern Pacific, offering seasonal and basin context for TWENTY-TWO. Their histories do not establish that TWENTY-TWO will follow a similar path or reach a similar intensity.

Storm FAQ

Why are tropical storms given names?

Names make individual storms easier to identify and discuss than technical numbers alone. Meteorological organizations use prepared name lists for storms that reach the naming threshold in each basin.

Why are TWENTY-TWO’s gusts higher than its sustained winds?

A gust is a brief peak in wind speed, while the sustained-wind figure represents a longer measurement. The latest reading records sustained winds of 56 km/h and gusts of 64 km/h.

What does a heading of 265° mean?

A heading in degrees is measured clockwise from north: 0° is north, 90° east, 180° south and 270° west. A heading of 265° is close to due west.

Does TWENTY-TWO’s track show where it will go next?

No. The track points describe recorded positions and classifications, not a forecast. This page has no forecast data; consult your national weather service for official information.

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