Hurricane Vance Tracker
The track shows Vance's path and the forecast cone.
Vance is a category 1 hurricane over open water in the eastern Pacific, moving northwest at 13 km/h.
Vance observation history
| Date, time | Wind Speed | Pressure | Latitude | Longitude | Movement | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 km/h | 989 mb | 14.6 | -103.8 | 13 km/h NW | Category 1 Hurricane | |
| 139 km/h | 980 mb | 14.1 | -103.3 | 11 km/h N | Category 1 Hurricane | |
| 148 km/h | 977 mb | 13.5 | -103.3 | 9 km/h N | Category 1 Hurricane | |
| 157 km/h | 974 mb | 13.0 | -103.2 | 9 km/h N | Category 2 Hurricane | |
| 167 km/h | 970 mb | 12.6 | -102.9 | 9 km/h N | Category 2 Hurricane | |
| 176 km/h | 965 mb | 12.1 | -102.7 | 10 km/h N | Category 2 Hurricane | |
| 185 km/h | 961 mb | 11.7 | -102.4 | 13 km/h N | Category 3 Hurricane | |
| 167 km/h | 971 mb | 11.0 | -102.2 | 8 km/h N | Category 2 Hurricane | |
| 139 km/h | 981 mb | 10.6 | -102.1 | 4 km/h SW | Category 1 Hurricane | |
| 130 km/h | 985 mb | 10.8 | -102.0 | 10 km/h NW | Category 1 Hurricane | |
| 111 km/h | 991 mb | 10.3 | -101.7 | 12 km/h NW | Tropical Storm | |
| 102 km/h | 994 mb | 9.8 | -101.3 | 8 km/h W | Tropical Storm | |
| 83 km/h | 999 mb | 9.7 | -100.9 | 8 km/h W | Tropical Storm | |
| 74 km/h | 1,000 mb | 9.6 | -101.3 | 15 km/h W | Tropical Storm | |
| 65 km/h | 1,003 mb | 9.5 | -100.5 | 17 km/h W | Tropical Storm | |
| 65 km/h | 1,003 mb | 9.4 | -99.6 | 17 km/h W | Tropical Storm | |
| 56 km/h | 1,005 mb | 9.5 | -99.0 | 22 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 46 km/h | 1,007 mb | 9.6 | -97.8 | 17 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 46 km/h | 1,007 mb | 9.7 | -96.9 | 13 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 46 km/h | 1,007 mb | 9.8 | -96.2 | 12 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 46 km/h | 1,007 mb | 10.0 | -95.6 | 15 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 46 km/h | 1,007 mb | 10.0 | -94.8 | 16 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 37 km/h | 1,009 mb | 10.3 | -94.0 | 19 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 37 km/h | 1,009 mb | 10.6 | -93.0 | 16 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 28 km/h | 1,011 mb | 10.7 | -92.1 | 16 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 28 km/h | 1,011 mb | 10.7 | -91.2 | 16 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 28 km/h | 1,011 mb | 10.7 | -90.3 | 20 km/h W | Tropical Depression | |
| 28 km/h | 1,011 mb | 10.6 | -89.2 | 0 km/h N | Tropical Depression |
What's happening now
Vance is a category 1 hurricane at 14.6°N, 103.8°W, over open water in the eastern Pacific and moving northwest at 13 km/h. The latest reading, at 12:00 UTC on 25 October, records winds of 120 km/h, gusts of 138 km/h and a pressure of 989 mb. The reading names no nearby town or body of water. Vance has weakened from its strongest recorded reading: category 3, with winds of 185 km/h and pressure of 961 mb, at 00:00 UTC on 24 October. Later readings show the wind speed and category falling, while pressure rises. Vance was recorded as a category 1 hurricane at the previous reading as well, at 06:00 UTC on 25 October, with winds of 139 km/h and pressure of 980 mb.
Areas under watch or warning
No active watches or warnings.
How Vance developed
18 October — First reading records a tropical depression.
The earliest reading places TWENTY-TWO over open water at 10.6°N, 89.2°W, with winds of 28 km/h and pressure of 1,011 mb. The recorded movement was 0 km/h at that moment. The observations begin with the system already classified as a tropical depression; they do not show when it first formed.
19 October — Winds rise to 37 km/h as pressure falls.
By 18:00 UTC, the readings show winds of 37 km/h, up from 28 km/h earlier in the day, while pressure has fallen from 1,011 mb to 1,009 mb. TWENTY-TWO remains a tropical depression. The earlier readings on 19 October show westward movement, with recorded speeds of 16 to 20 km/h.
20 October — Winds reach 46 km/h; pressure falls to 1,007 mb.
At 06:00 UTC, TWENTY-TWO’s recorded wind speed rises to 46 km/h and its pressure falls to 1,007 mb. Those values persist through the readings up to 21 October at 06:00 UTC. The system remains a tropical depression throughout this interval, while its recorded westward movement varies from 12 to 17 km/h in the later readings.
21 October — Winds rise to 56 km/h as pressure falls again.
The latest reading, at 12:00 UTC, records winds of 56 km/h, gusts of 64 km/h and pressure of 1,005 mb. Winds have increased from 46 km/h in the previous reading, and pressure has fallen from 1,007 mb. TWENTY-TWO remains a tropical depression. The latest movement reading is 22 km/h towards 265°.
21 October — Strengthens into a tropical storm.
At 18:00 UTC on 21 October, the latest reading classifies TWENTY-TWO as a tropical storm, up from a tropical depression at 12:00 UTC. Sustained winds increased from 56 to 65 km/h, gusts rose from 64 to 75 km/h, and pressure fell from 1,005 to 1,003 mb. The centre was at 9.4°N, 99.6°W, moving at 17 km/h.
23 October — Strengthens into a category 1 hurricane.
At 06:00 UTC on 23 October, Vance is classified as a category 1 hurricane, with winds of 130 km/h and gusts of 150 km/h. Pressure is 985 mb. Six hours earlier, the reading showed a tropical storm with 111 km/h winds and pressure of 991 mb.
23 October — Strengthens into a category 2 hurricane.
At 18:00 UTC on 23 October, Vance's maximum sustained winds reached 167 km/h, with gusts of 192 km/h, and pressure fell to 971 mb. Six hours earlier, winds were 139 km/h and pressure was 981 mb. The readings mark the change to a category 2 hurricane.
October 24 — Strengthens into a category 3 hurricane.
At 00:00 UTC, Vance reaches category 3 with sustained winds of 185 km/h and gusts of 213 km/h. The reading places the centre at 11.7°N, 102.4°W, moving north-north-west at 13 km/h, and records pressure of 961 mb. Wind speed is up from 167 km/h and pressure down from 971 mb six hours earlier.
24 October — Weakens to a category 2 hurricane.
At 06:00 UTC, Vance's maximum sustained winds are 176 km/h, down from 185 km/h at 00:00 UTC, and its pressure is 965 mb, up from 961 mb. The readings classify Vance as a category 2 hurricane after its category 3 reading six hours earlier.
25 October — Weakens to a category 1 hurricane.
At 00:00 UTC on 25 October, Vance's maximum sustained winds are 148 km/h, down from 157 km/h 6 hours earlier. Central pressure rises from 974 mb to 977 mb. The reading classifies Vance as a category 1 hurricane, down from category 2 in the previous reading.
How Vance is behaving
The observations show a steady fall in central pressure from 1,011 mb to 1,005 mb alongside a rise in sustained wind from 28 km/h to 56 km/h. That paired trend supports strengthening during the observed period, although the readings do not describe the storm’s internal structure. Winds held at 46 km/h across several readings before rising in the latest one. Gusts are brief peaks above the sustained wind measurement; the latest gust is 64 km/h.
The track moves generally westward after the first reading recorded 0 km/h. The latest reading gives a heading of 265° and a speed of 22 km/h, faster than the 12–17 km/h recorded in several preceding observations. These readings describe motion and intensity at six-hour intervals; they do not include sea-surface temperature, wind shear or moisture measurements.
How to track Vance
Turn on the tropical storm tracks layer in RainViewer to follow TWENTY-TWO’s recorded path. Each track point’s colour shows the storm’s category at that moment: tropical depression is cyan, tropical storm is blue, category 1 is yellow, category 2 is amber, category 3 is orange, category 4 is red and category 5 is dark red. TWENTY-TWO’s readings classify it as a tropical depression, so its points correspond to cyan.
Compare the track points with the readings to follow how the recorded position, wind and pressure changed. TWENTY-TWO’s observations show a westward track, falling pressure and rising wind speed, with the latest movement reading at 22 km/h. RainViewer does not provide official warnings; check your national weather service for those. Open the RainViewer app on Google Play or the App Store to follow the plotted track.
How TWENTY-TWO fits into the eastern Pacific hurricane season
The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May through November, placing October in its later part. Tropical cyclones in this basin can develop from tropical disturbances over the ocean. In general, persistent thunderstorms, ocean heat and an atmosphere that allows storms to organise can support development, while disruptive upper-level winds can hinder it. The readings for TWENTY-TWO do not measure those environmental conditions, so they cannot show which ingredients shaped this particular system.
Hurricane Patricia (2015) reached category 5 and made landfall as a category 4 hurricane. Hurricane Kenna (2002) also reached category 5 and made landfall as a category 4 hurricane. Both were October storms in the eastern Pacific, offering seasonal and basin context for TWENTY-TWO. Their histories do not establish that TWENTY-TWO will follow a similar path or reach a similar intensity.
Storm FAQ
Why are tropical storms given names?
Names make individual storms easier to identify and discuss than technical numbers alone. Meteorological organisations use prepared name lists for storms that reach the naming threshold in each basin.
Why are TWENTY-TWO’s gusts higher than its sustained winds?
A gust is a brief peak in wind speed, while the sustained-wind figure represents a longer measurement. The latest reading records sustained winds of 56 km/h and gusts of 64 km/h.
What does a heading of 265° mean?
A heading in degrees is measured clockwise from north: 0° is north, 90° east, 180° south and 270° west. A heading of 265° is close to due west.
Does TWENTY-TWO’s track show where it will go next?
No. The track points describe recorded positions and classifications, not a forecast. This page has no forecast data; consult your national weather service for official information.
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